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PF

PEOPLES FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP. (PFIS)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered a clean beat: Primary EPS was $1.51 vs Wall Street consensus $1.33*; GAAP diluted EPS was $1.49. “Revenue” (Street definition) was $44.75M vs $44.30M consensus*, with net interest income up quarter-over-quarter and operating costs normalizing .
  • Net interest margin expanded 25 bps to 3.50% as deposit costs fell 24–29 bps; efficiency ratio improved to 55.77% from 63.03% in Q4 2024, driving higher PPNR and ROA/ROE .
  • Credit stayed benign: provision fell to $0.2M (from $3.4M), ACL/loans held ~1.03%, and NPAs ticked slightly to 0.59% of loans + foreclosed assets .
  • Offsets: total deposits declined $90.6M on seasonal outflows and brokered CD reduction; loans were essentially flat (-$2.0M) .
  • Potential stock reaction catalysts: sustained NIM tailwind from deposit repricing, continued expense normalization, and stable credit metrics following the FNCB integration .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • NIM and funding costs: “Net interest margin… was 3.50%… an increase of 25 bps… cost of funds decreased 30 bps to 2.58%… cost of interest-bearing deposits decreased 29 bps… cost of total deposits… 1.96%” .
    • Expense normalization and stronger core profitability: noninterest expense fell $7.4M q/q (ex-M&A, down $2.6M); efficiency ratio improved to 55.77% .
    • Provision relief and solid returns: provision dropped to $0.2M; ROA/ROE improved to 1.22%/12.70% (core ROA/ROE 1.23%/12.80%) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Deposit and balance pressure: deposits fell $90.6M q/q on seasonal outflows and fewer brokered CDs; loans declined $2.0M .
    • Modest uptick in NPAs: nonperforming assets rose to $23.7M (0.59% of loans + foreclosed assets) vs $23.0M (0.58%) in Q4 2024 .
    • One-time income contribution: $680K gain on sale of fixed assets boosted noninterest income, a non-recurring benefit .

Financial Results

Performance vs prior year and prior quarter

MetricQ1 2024 (YoY)Q4 2024 (QoQ)Q1 2025 (Current)
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.49 $0.61 $1.49
Core EPS ($)$0.55 $0.99 $1.51
“Revenue” ($M)n/a$44.22*$44.75*
Net Interest Income ($M)$19.32 $38.51 $39.55
Noninterest Income ($M)$3.39 $5.51 $6.26
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$0.71 $3.37 $0.20
Net Income ($M)$3.47 $6.09 $15.01
NIM (FTE) (%)2.29% 3.25% 3.50%
Efficiency Ratio (Non-GAAP) (%)75.73% 63.03% 55.77%
ROA (%)0.38% 0.47% 1.22%
ROE (%)4.09% 5.07% 12.70%

Note: “Revenue” reflects Street convention (net interest income + noninterest income). *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Loan portfolio mix (period-end)

Category ($M)Sep 30, 2024Dec 31, 2024Mar 31, 2025
Commercial (Taxable + Nontaxable)$890.1 $836.0 $853.0
CRE$2,309.6 $2,294.1 $2,275.2
Residential RE$550.6 $551.9 $560.1
Consumer (incl. Indirect Auto)$146.0 $132.4 $123.0
Equipment Finance$173.5 $179.1 $180.2
Total Loans$4,069.7 $3,993.5 $3,991.5

Deposit mix and liquidity

KPISep 30, 2024Dec 31, 2024Mar 31, 2025
Deposit Mix (% retail/commercial/municipal/brokered)38.6% / 33.3% / 19.7% / 8.4% 40.4% / 34.9% / 18.9% / 5.8% 42.0% / 35.7% / 16.8% / 5.5%
Uninsured Deposits (% of total)33.8% 31.3% 30.0%
Cost of Total Deposits (%)2.33% 2.20% 1.96%
Available Liquidity (Total)$2.24B $2.42B $2.40B

Credit quality

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
NPAs ($M)$21.5 $23.0 $23.7
NPAs / Loans+REO (%)0.53% 0.58% 0.59%
Net Charge-offs ($M)$0.08 $0.93 $0.92
ACL ($M)$39.34 $41.78 $41.05
ACL / Loans (%)0.97% 1.05% 1.03%

Guidance Changes

The company did not provide formal quantitative guidance (revenue/margins/OpEx/tax) in Q1 2025 materials. Dividend policy was reaffirmed.

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quarterly Dividend/ShareQ2 2025$0.6175 (Q4 2024 declared) $0.6175 payable Jun 13, 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document system. Themes below reflect company press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
NIM and Deposit CostsQ3/Q4: NIM 3.26%→3.25% as Fed cuts started; cost of funds/IB deposits eased q/q NIM 3.50% with 25 bps q/q expansion; cost of total deposits down to 1.96% Improving
FNCB IntegrationQ3: Meaningful non-recurring charges; system integration underway M&A expenses fell to $0.2M; efficiency ratio 55.77% Integration largely executed, benefits emerging
CreditQ3: Day-1 non-PCD provision $14.3M; ACL to 0.97% Provision $0.2M; ACL/loans 1.03%; NPAs 0.59% Stabilizing
Liquidity/Uninsured DepositsQ3/Q4: Liquidity >$2.2B; uninsured ~33–31% Liquidity ~$2.40B; uninsured ~30% Solid, improving mix
Balance GrowthQ3/Q4: Loans moderated post-merger; deposit mix shifting Loans -$2.0M q/q; deposits -$90.6M (seasonal, fewer brokered CDs) Flat to slightly negative near-term

Management Commentary

  • “Net interest margin… was 3.50%, an increase of 25 basis points… The cost of funds decreased 30 bps to 2.58%… cost of interest-bearing deposits decreased 29 bps to 2.46%… cost of total deposits… 1.96%.”
  • “Noninterest expense decreased $7.4 million… Excluding acquisition related expenses… noninterest expenses decreased $2.6 million.”
  • “Provision… was $0.2 million… declined… due mainly to a reduction in qualitative factors for the equipment financing loan portfolio… and a decline in the model loss rate primarily driven by a change in economic forecasting.”
  • “Total deposits decreased $90.6 million… due primarily to seasonal outflows… and reductions in brokered CDs.”
  • “Nonperforming assets were $23.7 million or 0.59%… compared to $23.0 million or 0.58%… at December 31, 2024.”

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was found; therefore, Q&A themes and tone changes are unavailable from a call. This recap reflects disclosures in the 8-K/press releases .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Primary EPS was $1.51 vs consensus $1.33 (2 estimates), a clear beat of ~$0.18 (≈14%). Revenue: $44.75M vs consensus $44.30M (2 estimates), a slight beat.
  • Street likely revises higher on NIM momentum and lower run-rate expenses; note purchase accounting accretion ($3.7M NII; ~30–32 bps of NIM) remains a tailwind to normalize over time .
  • Estimates (EPS, revenue, and # of estimates) are from S&P Global. Values marked with * below are retrieved from S&P Global.
MetricConsensusActual# of Estimates
Primary EPS$1.33*$1.51* (GAAP diluted: $1.49) 2*
Revenue ($M)$44.30*$44.75*2*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin tailwind in place: deposit repricing lowered funding costs faster than asset yields, expanding NIM to 3.50% and improving PPNR; monitor sustainability as rate paths evolve and accretion normalizes .
  • Operating leverage is reappearing: sharp q/q OpEx reduction (and efficiency to 55.77%) supports earnings durability post-integration .
  • Credit metrics stable with modest provisioning and steady ACL/loans at ~1.03%; NPAs slightly higher but contained at 0.59% .
  • Balance dynamics soft near-term: seasonal deposit outflows and deliberate brokered CD reductions, with loans essentially flat; watch for underlying core deposit and loan traction into Q2 .
  • Capital and book value improved; tangible book per share rose to $37.35 (from $35.88), aided by AOCI improvement .
  • Shareholder returns intact: $0.6175 dividend maintained (up ~50.6% y/y); supports total return profile .
  • Near-term stock drivers: continued NIM expansion, expense discipline, and stable credit could support estimate revisions and sentiment; seasonal deposit rebuild and loan growth are watch items .

Additional Documents Reviewed

  • 8-K (Item 2.02) filing incorporating the Q1 2025 earnings press release .
  • Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 earnings releases for trend analysis .
  • Dividend press release (Q2 2025 declaration) .

Appendix: Prior Quarter Snapshots (for trend)

  • Q4 2024: GAAP EPS $0.61; core EPS $0.99; NIM 3.25%; efficiency 63.03%; provision $3.37M; NPAs 0.58% .
  • Q3 2024: GAAP EPS $(0.43) due to merger-related charges; core EPS $1.64; NIM 3.26%; efficiency 53.14%; day-1 non-PCD provision $14.3M .